It's basically a playoff game for the Redskins, but the Eagles have something on the line, too. Farewell to Andy Reid, whom I like—and may he wave goodbye to Philly from a victory formation.
The Accuscore mainframe simulations have been run…1,000 of them…and the Washington Redskins (8-6) are a solid favorite with a 64% chance to beat the Philadelphia Eagles (4-10). Alfred Morris is projected for 90 rushing yards and a 45% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD.
The Redskins have a 74% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit based on the computer simulations of this game. Positive turnover margin helps them win 75% of the time.
But none of that mathematical analysis can account for the individual emotions involved in this game.
Here's a human angle on this game: Emil "Iggy" Igwenagu. This young man has been given the chance of a lifetime to start at fullback for the Eagles due to injuries to Stanley Havili (back) and Chris Polk (turf toe).
That's Iggy, #41, working against Ryan Rau back in training camp. At 6-2, 245, age 23, Iggy is an undrafted free agent out of Massachusetts who was scouted as a potential hybrid H-back who can play both tight end and fullback.
Iggy is no speed merchant. His time in the 40-yard dash at the 2012 Combine was a mere 4.83 seconds… He also had the worst times for all fullbacks in the cone and shuttle drills. But ironically, he posted the best overall mark for fullbacks in the broad jump (121.0)…
I'm hoping for Iggy to make the most of his big chance to start for the Eagles in this game. He can make a mark with juggernaut run-blocking and pass-pro in this game. It's his for the taking. It's one of the extra added attractions for watching this game for true Eagles fans.
It's just another reason to support GK Brizer's Rules of Engagement #24— "There is no such thing as a meaningless game…"
When: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox)
Spread: Redskins by 5.5
Forecast: Temperatures will be in the low- to mid-40s with sunny skies.
Records: Redskins (8-6; NFC East 3-1); Eagles (4-10; NFC East 1-3)
Past results: Two most recent meetings — Nov. 18, 2012: Redskins 31, Eagles 6; Jan. 1, 2012: Eagles 34, Redskins 10 Series record: Redskins lead 80-71-6.
Key matchups: Redskins NT Barry Cofield vs. C Dallas Reynolds. Cofield has played especially well lately and had a strong game against Reynolds in the first meeting. Cofield has been more disruptive, particularly when shooting gaps or running stunts.
Redskins ILBs Perry Riley and London Fletcher vs. LeSean McCoy. Shady's coming off a concussion layoff but is still a dangerous runner; if the Redskins can use eight in the box against him they should be okay….
John Keim's (CBS Sports) Inside stuff: The Redskins' defense has been more creative lately, showing multiple looks in an effort to provide a better rush. Washington has used more stunts and various looks. The Redskins have used Ryan Kerrigan on both sides of the line more and he's slanted inside on rushes a lot more. Kerrigan likes going up against guards because he's quicker and, though they're bigger, he's stronger than anticipated. He often moves them back for pressure. With Brian Orakpo out, they've generated little pressure without being creative with these multiple looks.
Stat you should know: The Redskins are 7-1 when Pierre Garcon plays. He's recorded four games with 85 or more yards receiving; no other Redskins wideout has surpassed 80 yards in a game. And they're averaging 29.5 points with him; 24.2 without him.
Let the tailgate party begin! Holiday blessings upon you all. We'll keep it here for the entire game of Livefyre analysis from our smartest Philly Phans. If you want to join the coversation, go to www.livefyre.com to instantly create your unique identity and voice.